Causes & Risk Factors of Diabetes
Causes of Type 1 Diabetes
Type 1 diabetes is based on an autoimmune mechanism: T-lymphocytes attack and destroy the beta cells of the pancreas. Genetics plays a significant role — particularly the HLA gene region (HLA-DRB1, -DQA1, -DQB1). Heritability is estimated at 0.69–0.88, yet the concordance rate even among identical twins is only 30–70% — meaning genes alone don't fully determine the disease. Possible triggers mentioned in the literature for genetically predisposed people include viral infections and certain early-life factors, although their causal role hasn't been conclusively proven.
Causes & Risk Factors of Type 2 Diabetes
Type 2 diabetes develops through a combination of insulin resistance and a gradual decline in insulin production. The main risk factors identified by researchers include:
- Excess weight and obesity — a body mass index above 30 is often cited as an approximate threshold for elevated risk; the contribution of excess weight to the disease ranges from ~30% (in people of East Asian descent) to nearly 100% (in some Indigenous populations);
- Physical inactivity — fewer than 3 workouts a week is associated with higher risk;
- Abdominal obesity — a waist circumference above roughly 102 cm in men and 89 cm in women is sometimes used as a reference point;
- Dietary factors — sugary drinks and excess saturated and trans fats raise risk, while polyunsaturated and monounsaturated fats are linked to lower risk in studies; in some Asian populations, excessive white rice consumption is also associated with higher risk;
- Heredity — estimated at 47–77%; more than 36 genes and 80 polymorphisms linked to risk are known;
- Age 45 and older, a family history of type 2 diabetes, and a prior episode of gestational diabetes;
- Coexisting conditions — high blood pressure, lipid disorders, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease;
- Smoking — associated with a higher risk of both diabetes itself and its complications;
- Belonging to certain ethnic groups — according to the CDC, higher risk is noted among African Americans, Hispanic/Latino Americans, American Indians, and Alaska Natives.
Less Obvious Factors
Research also links adverse childhood experiences (abuse, neglect, family dysfunction) to approximately a 32% higher likelihood of developing type 2 diabetes in adulthood, with neglect showing the strongest association. Certain medications — some antipsychotics, as well as SSRIs/SNRIs — are associated with metabolic side effects that may increase risk. Chronic psychological stress and insufficient sleep are also among the factors mentioned in the literature.